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J. Tuyet Nguyen, a journalist with years of experience, has covered major stories in New York City and the United Nations for United Press International, the German Press Agency dpa and various newspapers. His reports focused mostly on topics with international interests for readers worldwide. He was president of the United Nations Correspondents Association (2007 and 2008), which is composed of more than 250 journalists representing world media with influence over policy decision makers. He has chaired the organization of the annual UNCA Awards, which seeks to reward journalists around the world who have done the best broadcasts and written reports on the UN and its specialized agencies. He has traveled the world to cover events and write stories, from politics to the environment as well cultures of different regions. But his most important reporting work has been with the United Nations since the early 1980s. He was bureau chief of United Press International office at the UN headquarters before joining dpa in 1997. Prior to working at the UN, he was an editor on the International Desk of UPI World Headquarters in New York. He worked in Los Angeles and covered the final months of war in Vietnam for UPI.

U.N. calls for peace in Ukraine as war close to one-year mark

New York, February 22 – With war raging in Ukraine, the U.N. General Assembly reconvened an emergency session to vote on a resolution that calls for a “comprehensive, just and lasting peace” in the beleaguered nation.

The resolution says efforts to end the year-old war should be consistent with the U.N. Charter, including principles of sovereignty, equality and territorial integrity of states. The resolution is titled “Principles of the Charter of the United Nations underlying a comprehensive, just and lasting peace in Ukraine” and already has wide support among the 193 nations members of the U.N.

In an address delivered to the assembly, U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said the Russian military invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 is “an affront to our collective conscience. It is a violation of the U.N. Charter and international law. It is having dramatic humanitarian and human rights consequences.  And the impact is being felt far beyond Ukraine.”

He said the Charter is unambiguous: “All members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, or in any other manner inconsistent with the Purposes of the United Nations.”

The resolution calls for the immediate and unconditional withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine’s territory and for Russia to respect the Geneva Convention relative to the treatment of prisoners of war. It also calls on warring parties to abide by international humanitarian law.

The U.N. leader said fully 40 per cent of Ukrainians need humanitarian assistance and their country’s vital infrastructure has been targeted – water, energy and heating systems have been destroyed in the dead of winter.

He said the war in Ukraine has caused the largest refugee crisis since World War Two with more than 8 million Ukrainians now surviving in neighboring countries where U.N. agencies have been cooperating with host countries to provide humanitarian assistance. The UN has launched a $5.6 billion humanitarian appeal for the people in Ukraine.

 “I urge your full support,” Guterres said. “I have visited Ukraine twice since the start of the war where I heard testimonies of severe violations of international humanitarian and human rights laws.”

Since war broke out in Ukraine, the assembly had adopted five resolutions accusing Russia of violating the U.N. Charter and demanding an end to the war. But resolutions adopted by the assembly are not binding on its members.

Resolutions adopted in 2022

1 – The resolution on March 2 demanded an immediate Russian cease-fire, withdrawal of all its troops and protection for all civilians with a strong vote – 141-5 with 35 abstentions.

2 – On March 24, the assembly voted 140-5 with 38 abstentions on a resolution that blamed Russia for Ukraine’s humanitarian crisis and called for an immediate cease-fire and protection for millions of civilians and the homes, schools and hospitals critical to their survival.

3 – The third resolution on April 7 suspended Russia’s membership from the U.N.’s Geneva-based Human Rights Council. It said Russian soldiers in Ukraine engaged in rights violations that the United States and Ukraine have called war crimes. That vote was 93-24 with 58 abstentions.

4 – The fourth one on October 12 condemned Russia’s “attempted illegal annexation” of four Ukrainian regions with a 143-5 vote and 35 abstentions.

5 – The fifth resolution on November 14 demanded that Russia be held accountable for violating international law by invading Ukraine and it must pay reparations for widespread damage in Ukraine and for Ukrainians killed and injured in the war. The vote was 94-14 with 73 abstentions.

(By J. Tuyet Nguyen)

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World faces largest food crisis in modern history, over 350 million people need help, U.N. says

Riyadh/New York, February 20 – Wars, climate disasters and economic collapse are causing the largest food crisis in modern history, spreading famine that is affecting millions of people around the world, the chief U.N. humanitarian affairs and emergency coordinator said in an appeal to help those in needs.

“The world is facing the largest food crisis in modern history, and famine is knocking on many doors,” Martin Griffiths told a humanitarian forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on behalf of U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres.

The forum was held under the theme “The Evolving Humanitarian landscape for 2023 and beyond” and attended by heads of state and government and donors to the U.N. emergency fund known as CERF.

“Our mandate and mantra is ‘We don’t give up.’ But to discharge this mandate, we need your help in practical and tangible ways,” Griffiths said.

Griffths described the current humanitarian landscape as “rough and rugged one” where needs are spiralling across the world and humanitarian crises are piling on top of each other, and “desperate people are looking to us in their hour of need.” He said women’s human rights specially are under “vicious attacks” in many places and injustice has festered for decades.

Griffiths said more than 350 million people around the world currently need humanitarian assistance and close to US$ 54 billion are needed to meet the basic needs of the worst affected among them.

“But experience shows that we can expect to raise barely half of that amount. Each year, our count of people in need, and dollars to raise, takes another jump. The trend is clear, and there are three main reasons for this,” he said.

He said more than 222 million people globally “don’t know when or even if they’ll eat another meal” and 45 million people are already on the brink of starvation with most of them women and children.

 The economic collapse fuelled first by the shock of Covid-19 pandemic, the year-old war in Ukraine and the recent earthquake in Turkeye and Syria are pushing millions of people to the brink, the U.N said. The U.N. has allocated up to $50 million to assist earthquake victims and $250 million from CERF to meet urgent humanitarian needs in score of countries.

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U.N. plans new diplomatic efforts to end war in Ukraine

New York, February 15 – The United Nations has scheduled meetings next week aimed at demanding an end to the war in Ukraine as Russia has launched new military offensives that will drag the war into a second year.

The U.N. Security Council plans to meet on February 24, 2023 – the first anniversary of the war – to discuss new diplomatic action against Russia.

Since Russian troops invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022 the U.N. has repeatedly condemned the action as a violation of the U.N. Charter, which calls for resolving disputes through peaceful means, and international rule of law.

Russia has used its veto power as one of five permanent members of the 15-nation U.N. Security Council to blunt all diplomatic action aimed ending the war. The other permanent members are the United States, United Kingdom, France and China.

On February 25, 2022 the council voted 11-1 on a resolution that demanded an immediate stop of the Russian aggression and withdrawal of troops. Russia voted no, which amounted to a veto. The three countries that abstained were China, India and United Arab Emirates.

On September 30, 2022, Russia cast a veto and effectively blocked the council from adopting a resolution that would have condemned President Vladimir Putin’s annexation of four regions in Ukraine as “illegal.”

Ten council members voted in favor of the resolution: the United States, United Kingdom, France, Albania, Ghana, Ireland, Kenya, Mexico, Norway and United Arab Emirates. And four abstained: China, India, Brazil and Gabon.

U.N. General Assembly to meet on February 22, 2023
The General Assembly, comprised of 193 nations, will resume its emergency session on the Ukraine war on February 22 at the request of Albania, Australia, Canada, Guatemala, Japan, the Republic of Moldova, the Republic of Korea, Türkiye, Ukraine, the United Kingdom, and the United States, and the Head of the EU Delegation on behalf of 27 members.

The assembly will discuss and is expected vote on a new resolution entitled the “Principles underlying a comprehensive, just and lasting peace in Ukraine,” which calls for Ukraine’s “sovereignty, independence, unity and territorial integrity.”

The assembly adopted five resolutions in 2022 accusing Russia of violating the U.N. Charter and demanding an end to the war. But resolutions adopted by the assembly are not binding on its members.

—The first resolution on March 2 demanded an immediate Russian cease-fire, withdrawal of all its troops and protection for all civilians with a strong vote – 141-5 with 35 abstentions.

—In the second one on March 24, the assembly voted 140-5 with 38 abstentions. That resolution blamed Russia for Ukraine’s humanitarian crisis and called for an immediate cease-fire and protection for millions of civilians and the homes, schools and hospitals critical to their survival.

—The third one on April 7 suspended Russia’s membership from the U.N.’s Geneva-based Human Rights Council. It said Russian soldiers in Ukraine engaged in rights violations that the United States and Ukraine have called war crimes. That vote was 93-24 with 58 abstentions.

—The fourth one on October 12 condemned Russia’s “attempted illegal annexation” of four Ukrainian regions with a 143-5 vote and 35 abstentions.

—The fifth resolution on November 14 demanded that Russia be held accountable for violating international law by invading Ukraine and it must pay reparations for widespread damage in Ukraine and for Ukrainians killed and injured in the war. The vote was 94-14 with 73 abstentions.

(By J. Tuyet Nguyen)

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U.N. and partners need $5.6 billion for 15 million people affected by Ukraine war

Geneva/New York, February 15 – With the Russia-led war in Ukraine entering a second year, the United Nations and humanitarian partners are appealing for $5.6 billion to help more than 15 million people affected by the war in 11 countries.

Two main programs are under way to assist those people since Russian troops invaded Ukraine last February 24, working with the U.N. office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) and the Refugee Agency (UNHCR).

OCHA said (1) the Humanitarian Response Plan for Ukraine, with more than 650 partners most of them Ukrainian organizations, called for $3.9 billion to reach 11.1 million people with food, health care, cash and other life-saving assistance.

It said (2) the Refugee Response Plan (RRP) for refugees from Ukraine needs $1.7 billion for 10 countries hosting refugee host countries: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania and Slovakia. The RRP has some 250 partners that are helping 4.2 million Ukrainian refugees and communities in countries hosting them.

“Almost a year on, the war continues to cause death, destruction and displacement daily, and on a staggering scale,” said Martin Griffiths, the Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator.

“We will continue to prioritize assistance to people who need it most and to support local authorities and civil-society organizations, whose dedication has been inspiring,” he added. “We must do all we can to reach the hardest-to-reach communities, including those close to the front line. The suffering of the Ukrainian people is far from over – they continue to need international support.”

Filippo Grandi, the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees said, “The response in host countries to the Ukraine emergency has been remarkable, with strong state leadership, an outpouring of solidarity by host communities as well as the extraordinary work done by civil society, particularly local NGOs, and refugee-led and community-based organizations.”

“Europe has proven capable of bold, collective action to help refugees”, Grandi added.  “Refugees have not only been welcomed, but temporary protection arrangements have provided refugees with the right to work, access services and to be included in national systems.  We must not, however, take this response, or the hospitality of host communities, for granted.  Continued international support and solidary is needed, until refugees are able to return to their homes in safety and dignity, which must also remain a priority.”

OCHA said in a press release that RRP partners have reached millions of refugees from Ukraine “with protection and assistance,” including over 609,000 children who benefited from child protection services. It said 1 million refugees received in-kind support and over 885,000 people received urgent cash assistance to cover their basic needs.

It said the new fundings will enable partners inside Ukraine and refugee host countries to reach millions of people with protection services. Those services include mental health and psychosocial support, child protection and gender-based violence prevention and response, shelter support, supplies for basic needs, and cash assistance. (by J. Tuyet Nguyen)

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Global food and nutrition security crisis to worsen; 349 million people in 79 countries are acutely food insecure

Joint statement by heads of Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO); International Monetary Fund (IMF); World Bank Group (WBG); World Food Program (WFP) and World Trade Organization (WTO) calling for continued urgent action to address the global crisis on food and nutrition security.

 (Following is the original statement – February 8, 2023)

We offer our deepest sympathies to the people of Türkiye and the neighboring Syrian Arab Republic who have suffered the recent earthquakes. Our organizations are closely monitoring the situation, assessing the magnitude of the disaster, and working to mobilize necessary support in accordance with each organization’s mandates and procedures.

Globally, poverty and food insecurity are both on the rise after decades of development gains. Supply chain disruptions, climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic, financial tightening through rising interest rates and the Russia’s war in Ukraine have caused an unprecedented shock to the global food system, with the most vulnerable hit the hardest. Food inflation remains high in the world, with dozens of countries experiencing double digit inflation.

According to WFP, 349 million people across 79 countries are acutely food insecure. The prevalence of undernourishment is also on the rise, following three years of deterioration.

This situation is expected to worsen, with global food supplies projected to drop to a three-year low in 2022/2023.[1] The need is especially dire in 24 countries that FAO and WFP have identified as hunger hotspots, of which 16 are in Africa.[2] Fertilizer affordability as defined by the ratio between food prices and fertilizer prices[3] is also the lowest since the 2007/2008 food crisis, which is leading to lower food production and impacting smallholder farmers the hardest, worsening the already high local food prices. For example, the reduction in 2022 of the production of rice, for which Africa is the largest importer in the world, coupled with prospects of lower stocks, is of grave concern.

In response to the inflation of food, fuel and fertilizer prices, countries have spent over US$710 billion for social protection measures covering 1 billion people, including approximately US$380 billion for subsidies. However, only US$4.3 billion has been spent in low-income countries for social protection measures, compared to US$507.6 billion in high-income countries.[3]

To prevent a worsening of the food and nutrition security crisis, further urgent actions are required to (i) rescue hunger hotspots, (ii) facilitate trade, improve the functioning of markets, and enhance the role of the private sector, and (iii) reform and repurpose harmful subsidies with careful targeting and efficiency. Countries should balance short-term urgent interventions with longer-term resilience efforts as they respond to the crisis. 

1.     Rescue hunger hotspots

We call on governments and donors to support country-level efforts to address the needs in hotspots, share information and strengthen crisis preparedness. The WFP and FAO need funds urgently to serve the most vulnerable immediately. In 2022, WFP and partners reached a record number of people – more than 140 million – with food and nutrition assistance, based on a record-breaking US$14 billion in contributions, of which US$7.3 billion came from the United States Government alone. WFP sent over US$3 billion in cash-based transfers to people in 72 countries and provided support to school feeding programs in 80 countries, including 15 million children through direct support and more than 90 million children through bolstering government national school feeding programs. FAO has invested US$1 billion to support more than 40 million people in rural areas with time sensitive agricultural interventions. These activities were primarily focused on the 53 countries listed in the Global Report on Food Crises.

The World Bank is providing a US$30 billion food and nutrition security package covering the 15 months from April 2022 to June 2023, including US$12 billion of new projects, which have all been committed ahead of schedule. This also includes US$3.5 billion in new financing for food and nutrition security in hotspots. In addition, the Bank has allocated US$748 million from its US$1 billion Early Response Financing modality of IDA’s Crisis Response Window (CRW) to mostly address needs in hotspots and is mobilizing additional funds for the CRW.

Funding for the IMF’s Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) must also be mobilized to provide concessional financing to low-income countries facing balance of payment needs. The IMF’s new Food Shock Window has so far supported Ukraine, Malawi, Guinea and Haiti, while nine countries facing acute food insecurity benefited from IMF financial support through new programs or augmentation of existing ones, with a focus on strengthening social safety nets and policies to help address the impact of the food crisis. The Global Alliance for Food Security (GAFS) is supporting greater crisis preparedness through the development and operationalization of multi-sectoral Food Security Crisis Preparedness Plans across 26 counties, which should be supported by governments and donors. GAFS also continues to monitor the severity of the food crisis and the financing of the global response through the Global Food and Nutrition Security Dashboard. We also welcome efforts by all parties to mobilize more funding for Africa’s agricultural transformation, as noted in the Dakar Declaration[4] and we want to acknowledge the great work done by David Beasley, Executive Director, WFP, during his tenure. 

2.     Facilitate trade, improve the functioning of markets, and enhance the role of the private sector

Countries should minimize trade distortions, strengthen the provision of public goods, and enable the private sector to contribute meaningfully to improved food security outcomes. We repeat our urgent call for countries to (i) avoid policies such as export restrictions, which can impede access to food for poor consumers in low-income food-importing countries; (ii) support trade facilitation measures, to improve availability of food and fertilizer, (iii) support trade finance initiatives in a transparent and indiscriminatory manner; and (iv) adhere to the commitments made at the WTO’s 12th Ministerial Conference.[5] While countries have lifted some export bans on wheat and rice, new export restrictions and bans, particularly on vegetables, are hampering availability on global markets. Global food security can be strengthened if governments support both food producers and consumers in a smart and targeted manner, such as by strengthening the provision of public goods in ways that improve farm productivity sustainably. Countries can use e-voucher schemes for fertilizers and avoid large-scale public procurement and subsidized distribution schemes, either on farm inputs or farm products, that crowd out the private sector. The WBG’s US$6 billion IFC Global Food Security Platform supports farmers to access fertilizers and other critical supplies while helping private companies make longer-term investments, focusing on improving the resilience of agri-food systems and fertilizer use efficiency. Countries should follow FAO‘s International Code of Conduct for the Sustainable Use and Management of Fertilizers to sustainably manage nutrients for food security.[6]

3.     Reform and repurpose harmful subsidies with careful targeting and efficiency

Countries should reform and repurpose general universal subsidies towards temporary, better targeted programs for global food security and sustainable food systems, considering the key aspects of (i) efficiency, (ii) cost and fiscal sustainability, (iii) flexibility, (iv) administrative complexity, (v) equity, and (vi) strengthened resilience and sustainability. Most of the global social protection response to inflation is in the form of subsidies, half of which are untargeted, inefficient, and costly to already constrained governments. Support should be scaled up for countries to strengthen and deploy comprehensive, actionable and shock responsive social protection strategies. Policies and reforms supported by financing from IMF and the World Bank have focused on the transition from broad-based measures to more targeted approaches. Countries need to re-examine and reform their support to agriculture, which amounted to about US$639 billion per year between 2016 and 2018, and has since been on the rise. Of every dollar spent, only 35 cents end up with farmers.[7] Much of this support incentivizes inefficient use of resources, distorts global markets, or undermines environmental sustainability, public health, and agricultural productivity. Without ignoring the inherent trade-offs associated with large scale policy reforms [10], this funding should be reformed and repurposed in ways that strengthen the resilience and sustainability of the agri-food system, such as the adoption of good agricultural practices, research and innovation (including in fertilizer application efficiency and alternatives to synthetic fertilizers), extension and advisory services, improved infrastructure and logistics, and digital technologies that improve productivity sustainably. The FAO new science and innovation strategy and the agri-food systems technologies and innovations outlook, [11] together with the One CGIARInitiative, plays a pivotal role across these areas to deliver global benefits of individual country reforms.[8]

Action is already under way to address underlying structural challenges in social protection and in the food and fertilizer markets, but more concerted action across these three key areas is needed to prevent a prolonged crisis. We are committed to working jointly and with impact to support the most vulnerable.

This is the third Joint Statement by the Heads of the Food and Agriculture Organization, International Monetary Fund, World Bank Group, World Food Programme, and World Trade Organization on the Global Food and Nutrition Security Crisis. The previous Joint Statements can be accessed here (1) and here (2).

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UPDATE: UN priorities for 2023: End conflicts with New Agenda for Peace

New York, February 6 – Citing the inalienable right to peace under the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, U.N. Secretary-GeneralAntoniocalled for a New Agenda for Peace through multilateral diplomacy to end conflicts, from the Russia-led Ukraine war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to violence in Myanmar and Haiti

Guterres said the Universal Declaration, proclaimed in 1948, provides a “roadmap out of the dead end” marked by conflicts without any prospects for peace.

“The Russian invasion of Ukraine is inflicting untold suffering on the Ukrainian people, with profound global implications,” Guterres said in an address to the U.N. General Assembly to begin activities in the new year. “The prospects for peace keep diminishing. The chances of further escalation and bloodshed keep growing. I fear the world is now sleepwalking into a wider war. It is doing so with its eyes wide open.”

“The world needs peace. Peace in line with the United Nations Charter and international law.”

New Agenda for Peace

Guterres said the proposed plan will revitalize multilateral action for a “world in transition and a new era of geostrategic competition” and will seek to address all forms and domains of threats, old and new.

The U.N. peacekeeping operations, launched 75 years ago, are under-funded and under attacks “with no peace to keep,” the U.N. leader said, proposing a new initiative under Action for Peacekeeping.

“But the New Agenda for Peace must recognize the need for a new generation of peace enforcement missions and counter-terrorist operations, led by regional forces, with a Security Council mandate under Chapter VII, and with guaranteed, predictable funding. The African Union is an obvious partner in this regard.”

He said disarmament and arms control issues should return to the center of diplomacy to reduce strategic threats from nuclear arms and work for their ultimate elimination.

“Nuclear-armed countries must renounce the first use of these unconscionable weapons,” he said. “In fact, they must renounce any use, anytime, anywhere. The so-called ‘tactical’ use of nuclear weapons is absurd.”

“We are at the highest risk in decades of a nuclear war that could start by accident or design. We need to end the threat posed by 13,000 nuclear weapons held in arsenals around the world.”

“The New Agenda for Peace aims to maximize the convening power of the United Nations as a platform for broad-based coalitions and effective diplomacy.”

Csaba Kőrösi, president of the current 77th General Assembly session, said: the body has embarked on 16 negotiation processes aiming at “transformation” across several of the priorities identified by the U.N. leader.

“As we embark on our efforts, let us view these processes holistically, with a full understanding of how the priority areas outlined by the Secretary-General are both interconnected and interrelated,” Korosi said.

“Failing to pave the way for economic growth and sustainable development – as we know – will have a direct bearing on prospects for international peace and security. To achieve the desired transformative change, we will have to refresh our thinking on evaluation of the development, going beyond GDP. We will also need the evidence and methodology science can offer us to shape our decisions.”

Sustainable Development Goals

Guterres urged government leaders to show up at the SDG Summit in September when the 193-nation U.N. General Assembly will hold its annual meetings, pointing out that the ambitious program has not met its deadlines at halfway to 2030. The General Assembly has scheduled a Summit of the Least Developed Countries in March to boost progress ahead of the SDG Summit in September. Topping the 17 Sustainable Development Goals are eliminating poverty and hunger and providing education for all.

Guterres urged developed countries to ensure that developing economies have the liquidity to fund investments in quality education, universal healthcare and pandemic preparedness, decent work and social protection. He called on the 20 richest countries (G20) to agree to stimulus programs to support countries in the Global South.

Commission on the Status of Women, March 6-17

Government representatives and non-governmental organizations accredited to ECOSOC from all regions in the world are called to attend and contribute to the session. This year’s priority theme: Innovation and technological change, and education in the digital age for achieving gender equality and the empowerment of all women and girls. The review theme: Challenges and opportunities in achieving gender equality and the empowerment of rural women and girls (agreed conclusions of the 62nd session)

Water Summit March 22-24

The U.N. will hold a Water Summit to develop a bold Water Action Agenda that would bring a clean, healthy and sustainable environment to all.

“Action on oceans means new partnerships and tougher efforts to tackle marine- pollution, end overfishing, safeguard marine biodiversity, and more,” Guterres said.

 With climate change profoundly affecting our economies, societies and environment, water is indeed the biggest deal breaker to achieve the internationally agreed water-related goals and targets, including those contained in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

Climate Change

The U.N. will hold its climate summit (COP28) in the United Arab Emirates in December.

The U.N. leader urges focus on two urgent priorities: cutting emissions and achieving climate justice, which mean “far more ambitious action to cut carbon pollution by speeding up the shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy – especially in G20 countries — and de-carbonizing highest emitting industrial sectors – steel, cement, shipping and aviation.”

“It means delivering on the Just Energy Transitions Partnerships with South Africa, Indonesia and Viet Nam. And expanding on this cooperation through a Climate Solidarity Pact.”

The plan said all businesses, cities, regions and financial institutions that took a 2050 net zero pledge should present their transition plans with credible and ambitious targets for 2025 and 2030 — aligned with the standards set by a High-Level Expert Group.

Guterres reminded developed countries to deliver on commitments to provide $100 billion to developing countries so they can adapt to new climate-related technology and deliver on the loss and damage fund agreed at last year’s COP in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt. (By J. Tuyet Nguyen)

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World faces “highly uncertain” near-term economic outlook, U.N. says

New York, January 25 – With multiple crises persisting around the world, including the war in Ukraine, the global output growth is expected to decelerate from around 3 per cent in 2022 to only 1.9 per cent in 2023, making it one of the lowest growth rates in recent decades, the United Nations said in its World Economic Situation and Prospects 2023.

The 178-page report’s executive summary said climate change, the Covid-19 pandemic, the ongoing 11-month-old war triggered by Russia and the resulting food and energy crises and high inflation have battered the world economy in 2022.

“Global growth is forecast to moderately pick up to 2.7 per cent in 2024, if, as expected, some macroeconomic headwinds begin to subside next year,” the report said despite the gloomy projections. “Inflationary pressures are projected to gradually abate amid weakening aggregate demand in the global economy.”

“The near-term economic outlook remains highly uncertain, however, as myriad economic, financial, geopolitical and environmental risks persist.”

A downturn in the global economy can impact on the achievement of a set of 17 Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres prefaced the report, calling for action to achieve the SDGs.

“This is not the time for short-term thinking or knee-jerk fiscal austerity that exacerbates inequality, increases suffering and could put the SDGs farther out of reach,” Guterres said. “These unprecedented times demand unprecedented action. This action includes a transformative SDG stimulus package, generated through the collective and concerted efforts of all stakeholders.”

Read the report  https://desapublications.un.org/

Sharp downturn in most developed economies except Japan

The report said growth momentum has weakened in the United States, the European Union and other developed economies, “adversely affecting the rest of the world economy.”

In the United States, GDP is projected to expand by only 0.4 per cent in 2023 after estimated growth of 1.8 per cent in 2022. It said higher interest rates and lower real income have prompted US consumers to cut back on spending while housing market is affected by rising mortgage rates and building costs.

The report said the E.U. economy is forecast to grow by 0.2 per cent in 2023, down from an estimated 3.3 per cent in 2022, when further easing of COVID-19 restrictions and release of pent-up demand boosted economic activities. “As the European Union continues its efforts to reduce dependence on fossil fuels from the Russian Federation, the region remains vulnerable to disruptions in the energy supply, including gas shortages,” it said.

“Despite growing at a moderate pace, Japan’s economy is expected to be among the better-performing developed economies in 2023,” the report said, adding that the country’s monetary and fiscal policy remain “accommodative.” Japan’s GDP is forecast to increase by 1.5 per cent in 2023, slightly lower than the estimated growth of 1.6 per cent in 2022.

Worsening outlook in most developing regions; challenges for least developed countries

China’s economic growth is projected to moderately improve in 2023 after weaker-than-expected performance in 2022, the report said. “Amid recurring COVID-19- related lockdowns and prolonged stress in the real estate market, the economy expanded by only 3 per cent in 2022. With the Government abandoning its zero-COVID-19 policy in late 2022 and easing monetary and fiscal policies, economic growth is forecast to accelerate to 4.8 per cent in 2023. But the reopening of the economy is expected to be bumpy. Growth will likely remain well below the pre-pandemic rate of 6 to 6.5 per cent.”

“Economic recovery in East Asia remains fragile, although average growth is stronger than in other regions. In 2023, GDP growth in East Asia is forecast to reach 4.4 per cent, compared to 3.2 per cent in 2022, mainly reflecting the modest recovery of growth in China. Yet many economies in the region (other than China) are losing steam amid fading pent-up demand, rising living costs and weakening export demand from the United States and Europe. This coincides with a tightening of global financial conditions, and countries adopting contractionary monetary and fiscal policies to curb inflationary pressures. Although the expected recovery of China’s economy will support growth across the region, any surge in COVID-19 infections may temporarily create slowdowns.”

In South Asia, the report said the economic outlook has “significantly deteriorated” due to high food and energy prices, monetary tightening and fiscal vulnerabilities. Average GDP growth is projected to moderate from 5.6 per cent in 2022 to 4.8
per cent in 2023.

“India’s economy is expected to remain strong at 5.8 per cent, albeit slightly lower than the estimated 6.4 per cent in 2022, as higher interest rates and a global slowdown weigh on investment and exports. The prospects are more challenging for other economies in the region. Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka sought financial assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 2022.”

Economic growth in least developed countries is projected at 4.4 per cent in 2023, about the same rate as last year and significantly below the 7 per cent growth target set in Sustainable Development Goal 8.

“In many of these countries, the risk of a lost decade is rising on the back of limited productive capacity, insufficient fiscal space, large macroeconomic imbalance and intensifying debt vulnerabilities. For the small island developing States, the short- term outlook remains bleak. Tourist arrivals have not fully recovered, and many of these countries are disproportionately affected by growing climate risks and natural disasters.” (By J. Tuyet Nguyen)

Read the report  https://desapublications.un.org/

Media contacts:

Sharon Birch, UN Department of Global Communications, birchs@un.org

Helen Rosengren, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, rosengrenh@un.org

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UPDATE: U.N. chief calls on Taliban to reverse “outrageous” education ban

New York, January 24 – This year’s International Day of Education has raised a deep concern that more than 5 million children have been shutout of schools in the ongoing war in Ukraine while Taliban authorities in Afghanistan have forbidden girls and women to receive education, U.N. agencies said.

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said in a statement that education is a “fundamental human right and the bedrock of societies, economies, and every person’s potential.”

“Now is also the time to end all discriminatory laws and practices that hinder access to education. I call on the de facto authorities in Afghanistan in particular to reverse the outrageous and self-defeating ban on access to secondary and higher education for girls,” he said.

Guterres reminded the 130 countries that last September committed themselves to transform education and ensure that universal quality education will become a “central pillar of public policies and investments.”

“Now is the time for all countries to translate their Summit commitments into concrete actions that create supportive and inclusive learning environments for all students,” he said.

The U.N. Children’s Fund (UNICEF) said the war triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 has compounded the loss of education caused by Covid-19 pandemic in the last three years. Many of the Ukrainian boys and girls have missed schools in eastern Ukraine since the Crimea crisis in 2014.

“Schools and early childhood education settings provide a crucial sense of structure and safety to children, and missing out on learning could have lifelong consequences,” said Afshan Khan, UNICEF Regional Director for Europe and Central Asia. “There is no pause button. It is not an option to simply postpone children’s education and come back to it once other priorities have been addressed, without risking the future of an entire generation.”

Khan said thousands of schools, pre-schools or other education facilities in Ukraine have been damaged or destroyed by explosives and parents were reluctant to send children to schools out of safety concerns.

“UNICEF will continue working with the Government of Ukraine and the host countries’ Governments to deliver solutions to help children in conflict areas and those who have been displaced from their homes to continue their education,” said Khan.

Read UNICEF’s appeal on the International Day of Education

UNESCO: 2.5 million Afghan girls and women barred from schools

The U.N. Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) said the Taliban government ordered last December that 80 per cent of school-aged Afghan girls and women, a total of 2.5 million, cannot attend schools. The order included more than 100,000 women who were attending government and private institutions.

UNESCO, the Paris-based U.N. agency, said it has dedicated this year’s edition of the International Day of Education to the women and girls of Afghanistan, “who have been deprived of their fundamental right to education in the wake of the Taliban takeover in August 2021. 

Barring girls and young women from classrooms in Afghanistan could wipe out huge gains made in education and create “a lost generation”, the UN’s educational and cultural organization, UNESCO, has warned.  (Sources: UN News)

“No country in the world should bar women and girls from receiving an education. Education is a universal human right that must be respected,” said Director-General Audrey Azoulay. “The international community has the responsibility to ensure that the rights of Afghan girls and women are restored without delay. The war against women must stop.”

Taliban authorities last month banned young women from universities following an earlier directive prohibiting girls from attending secondary school, issued mere months after the fundamentalist group, who ruled in the late 1990s up to 2001, regained power in August 2021, sweeping back into the capital of Kabul.

UNESCO said Afghanistan recorded a tenfold increase in enrollment across all education levels, from roughly one million to 10 million students between 2001 and 2018. The number of girls in primary school increased from almost zero to 2.5 million.  By August 2021, they accounted for four out of 10 primary school students. Women’s presence in higher education also increased almost 20 fold, from 5,000 students in 2001 to over 100,000 two decades later. Today, 80 per cent of school-aged Afghan girls and women, 2.5 million, are out of school.  The order suspending university education for women, announced in December, affects more than 100,000 attending government and private institutions.

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U.N. supports calls for cooperation to prevent world fragmentation

Davos, Switzerland/New York, January 18 – While acknowledging that the United States and China are in conflict over various issues, the United Nations said it is “possible” for the two countries to engage on climate, trade and technology to avoid decoupling their economies.

 U.N. Secretary-General Antonio told the World Economic Forum in the Swiss Alps resort at Davos that the U.S.-China conflict can cause a “tectonic rift that would create two different sets of trade rules, two dominant currencies, two internets and two conflicting strategies on artificial intelligence.”

Referring to a study by the International Monetary Fund, Guterres said a decoupling of the U.S. and Chinese economies, the world’s two largest, could cut global GDP by a whopping $1.4 trillion.

“But it is possible – indeed essential – for the two countries to have meaningful engagement on climate, trade and technology to avoid the decoupling of economies or even the possibility of future confrontation,” the U.N. chief said.

He said the North-South divide is deepening at the same time while developed countries are unable to grasp the deep frustration of the global south.

Participants at the forum, the first in-person gathering since the pandemic erupted in early 2020, have voiced frustration at global economic slowdown, disrupted supply chains and the on-going Russia-Ukraine war. Guterres said the short-term global economic outlook is “bleak” while inequalities have deepened, costs of living have rapidly increased and the world is still unprepared for the next pandemic.

He called for reforming and building fairness into the global financial system to allow poor countries access to finance and to bridge the divide and restore trust so all countries can embark on meaningful climate action.

IMF: WEF faces Gordian Knot as it tries to prevent fragmented world

“As policymakers and business leaders gather at the World Economic Forum in Davos, they are facing a Gordian knot of challenges,” Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, said in an IMF Blog aimed at the gathering.

“From the global economic slowdown and climate change to the cost-of-living crisis and high debt levels: there is no easy way to cut through it. Added to this are geopolitical tensions that have made it even more difficult to address vital global issues,” she said.

“Indeed, even as we need more international cooperation on multiple fronts, we are facing the specter of a new Cold War that could see the world fragment into rival economic blocs. This would be a collective policy mistake that would leave everyone poorer and less secure.”

The IMF estimates that the cost of fragmentation from recent studies “vary widely” with the longer-term cost of trade fragmentation alone could range from 0.2 percent to almost 7 percent in a severe scenario, which is roughly equivalent to the combined annual output of Germany and Japan. If technological decoupling is added to the mix, some countries could see losses of up to 12 percent of GDP.

Georgieva urged governments to strengthen the international trade system; help vulnerable countries deal with debt and step up climate action as measures against fragmentation.

2023 Davos meeting January 16-20

This year’s World Economic Forum under the theme ‘Cooperation in a Fragmented World’ is drawing 2,700 leaders from 130 countries including 52 heads of state/government.

“Multiple crises are deepening divisions and fragmenting the geopolitical landscape. Leaders must address people’s immediate, critical needs while also laying the groundwork for a more sustainable, resilient world by the end of the decade,” WEF said.

Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman of WEF, said, “We see the manifold political, economic and social forces creating increased fragmentation on a global and national level. To address the root causes of this erosion of trust, we need to reinforce cooperation between the government and business sectors, creating the conditions for a strong and durable recovery. At the same time there must be the recognition that economic development needs to be made more resilient, more sustainable and nobody should be left behind.”

WEF said the 53rd annual meeting will focus on solutions and public-private cooperation to tackle the world’s most pressing challenges. “It encourages world leaders to work together on the interconnected issues of energy, climate and nature; investment, trade and infrastructure; frontier technologies and industry resilience; jobs, skills, social mobility and health; and geopolitical cooperation in a multipolar world. Special emphasis is on gender and geographical diversity across all sessions.”

(By J. Tuyet Nguyen)

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U.N. slams lawlessness, from Russia’s war in Ukraine to illegal development of nuclear weapons by North Korea

New York, January 12 – The United Nations Security Council is called to find ways to promote and strengthen the rule of law as lawlessness has proliferated, from the illegal Russia’s war in Ukraine nearing one year old, the military takeover in Myanmar to the Taliban’s attacks on women’s and girls’ rights to education and North Korea’s nuclear tests.

Japan’s Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi, whose country holds the presidency of the 15-nation Security Council in January, called for a resolution on “Uniting for the Rule of Law,” with the council as the principal body responsible for it.

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres opened the debate with a statement that the rule of law is “foundational to the United Nations, and to our mission of peace. The Security Council has a vital role in upholding it.”

“From the illegal development of nuclear weapons to the illegal use of force, States continue to flout international law with impunity,” Guterres said. “The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created a humanitarian and human rights catastrophe, traumatized a generation of children, and accelerated the global food and energy crises. In every region of the world, civilians suffer the effects of devastating conflicts, loss of human life, rising poverty and hunger.”

He said North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons programs is “unlawful… and a clear and present danger, driving risks and geopolitical tensions to new heights. The onus is on the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea to comply with its international obligations and return to the negotiating table.”

The Talibanin Afghanistan have launched “unprecedented, systemic attacks” on women’s and girls’ rights to education and has undermined development activities in the country, he said.

Guterres said coups d’etat are back “in fashion” in recent years. One example is the military takeover in Myanmar in 2021, which led the country into a cycle of violence, repression and severe human rights violations.

“2022 was a deadly year for both Palestinians and Israelis,” he said. “We condemn all unlawful killings and acts by extremists.”

“The situation in Haiti is characterized by a deep institutional crisis and weak rule of law, widespread human rights abuses, soaring crime rates, corruption and transnational crime.”

Japan’s Foreign Minister Hayashi said the world is currently “beset by the war of aggression in Europe, and conflicts, violence, terrorism, and geopolitical tensions ranging from Africa to the Middle East to Latin America to the Asia-Pacific.”

 “I believe that the rule of law is intrinsically linked with the responsibility of this Council. I believe that it is only through multilateralism that we can uphold the rule of law globally. I believe that the United Nations should be at the core of multilateralism. And, I believe that the Security Council should be the guardian of multilateralism.”

He said the proposed “Uniting for the Rule of Law” should draw on the U.N. Charter and resolutions adopted by the U.N. General Assembly related to the rule of law and friendly relations among nations. He said the rule of law should be “anchored in trust among nations” and should “never allows any country to rewrite borders by force or through the flexing of muscles.”

“Member States should unite for the rule of law and cooperate with each other to stand up against violations of the U.N. Charter, such as aggression against, or the acquisition of territory by force from, a Member State. Japan welcomes the efforts by Member States in this regard, and calls for further actions to end the aggression against Ukraine. Let us refrain from recognizing territorial acquisitions by force or supporting aggression directly or indirectly,” he said.

(By J.Tuyet Nguyen)

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